THE ROLLING GOLD INDEX CONTRACT
KIE is a rolling gold contract, which is an index comparison between the
settlement price of rolling gold contract at BBJ and the price of Loco London
per gram. This Index Number is 100% similar to US Dollar currency exchange rate
movement towards Rupiah currency.
Application:
Buying position in KIE (long position) means buying USD and selling
Indonesian Rupiah (exchange Rupiah currency to get USD currency).
Selling position in KIE (short position) means selling USD and buying
Indonesian Rupiah (exchange USD currency to get Rupiah currency).
KIE is a rolling contract, where an offered price is a spot price that
does not yet calculate the interest rate factor so that the interest rate
calculation is done for settlement price and the market position (long and
short position).
There is a given different level of interest rate between Indonesian
Rupiah and USD, so the consequences of related conditions are the presence of
paying and accepting calculation from that difference interest. If the interest
rate level of USD is lower than Indonesian Rupiah, the investor with the buying
position has to pay that difference interest.
On the contrary, the investor with the selling position will get that
difference interest.
Rolling Contract is a standard agreement between the parties in which the
parties do not have to know one another to buy or sell a certain product with a
certain price without any purpose to close it, but for the purpose to prolong
it by calculating a price change and a difference of interest rate on a daily
basis. Rolling Contract is a special futures contract because the traded price
is a spot price, not a forward price. Rolling Contract also has no maturity
date. Rolling Contract can be extended without any time limit so that it can be
used easily both for long time and short time hedging. Rolling Contract
transaction is done in PT. Bursa Berjangka Jakarta (BBJ) and guaranteed by PT.
Kliring Berjangka Indonesia (KBI). This guarantee is given to ascertain there
is no party which will suffer financial loss, if one of the dealing parties
fails to fulfill their obligation.
Advantages of KIE
Transaction:
-
Trading KIE
transaction only needs 5 – 10% from the
total investment value. It does not need fund up to 100% from the total
investment value.
-
Trading KIE
transaction can be used as an hedging instrument for short time and long time
period.
Fundamental Analysis Base In Brief
As earlier elaborated above that Rolling Gold Contract (KIE) is
equivalent to foreign exchange of exchange rate level of USD – Indonesian
Rupiah (USD/IDR), so that market product analysis of KIE is foreign exchange
analysis of US Dollar – Indonesian Rupiah.
Several factors influence the movement of exchange rate USD and Rupiah
currencies are described bellow :
-
Local factors
: Inflation, Export-Import, Interest Rate, IHSG, Investment, Monetary Fiscal
Policies, Politic-Social-Security Conditions, etc.
-
External
factors : Oil Price, Fundamental Global Economy, Fundamental Regional Economy,
Global Share Price Trend, Regional Share Price Trend, Regional Currency
Sentiment, Country Risk, Geopolitics (Political tension), Etc.
